ProbFM: Probabilistic Time Series Foundation Model with Uncertainty Decomposition

By Arundeep Chinta, Lucas Vinh Tran, Jay Katukuri

Published 2026-01-15

Everscope rating

1607.3

Relevance to quantitative trading

9 / 10

Implementation complexity

6 / 10

Reproducibility

4 / 5

About this paper

Methodology: ProbFM (Probabilistic Foundation Model). Problem types: Time Series Forecasting, Regression, Risk Management, Portfolio Optimization, Uncertainty Quantification, Density Estimation.

arXiv:2601.10591 · Paper rankings

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