Deep Learning for Electricity Price Forecasting: A Review of Day-Ahead, Intraday, and Balancing Electricity Markets

By Runyao Yu, Derek W. Bunn, Julia Lin, Jochen Stiasny, Fabian Leimgruber, Tara Esterl, Yuchen Tao, Lianlian Qi, Yujie Chen, Wentao Wang, Jochen L. Cremer

Rating

1245
Battle Count: 78

Relevance

8/10
Highly relevant to quantitative trading in electricity markets. The paper directly addresses price forecasting across the full market stack (day-ahead, intraday, balancing), which is essential for bidding strategies, arbitrage, risk management, and algorithmic trading in energy markets. The taxonomy of backbone-head-loss provides a structured framework for designing trading models. The shift toward probabilistic forecasting and microstructure-aware models is directly applicable to trading strategy development. However, the paper is a review rather than proposing a specific trading strategy, and electricity market trading has unique constraints (non-storability, network constraints, regulatory rules) that differ from traditional financial markets.

Implementation Complexity

3/10
As a review/survey paper, it does not implement a specific model. The implementation complexity of the models discussed ranges from low (MLP, simple LSTM) to very high (MoE-GNN hybrids, foundation-style models like PriceFM covering 24+ countries). The taxonomy framework itself is straightforward to apply for categorizing existing or new models. The paper provides clear definitions of the backbone-head-loss decomposition that can guide model design decisions.

Reproducibility

2/5
As a review/survey paper, it does not propose a single reproducible model. It references 67 papers and provides a comprehensive taxonomy table (Table I) summarizing 49 studies. Reproducibility depends on the individual referenced works. Some referenced papers (e.g., [18] Lago et al.) provide open-access benchmarking toolkits. The taxonomy framework itself is clearly defined and can be applied to new studies.

About this paper

Methodology: Unified Deep Learning Taxonomy for EPF Review. Problem types: Time Series Forecasting, Regression, Probabilistic Forecasting, Density Estimation, Generative Modeling, Graph Learning, Multi-task Learning, Transfer Learning, Risk Management.

The interactive Everscope explorer (charts, battles, favorites) loads below.