Settlement Manipulation in Prediction Markets

By David Dai, Ruizhe Jia, Shihao Yu

Published 2026-07-01

Everscope rating
1465.8
Relevance to quantitative trading
8 / 10
Implementation complexity
7 / 10
Reproducibility
4 / 5

About this paper

Methodology: Sequential Game-Theoretic Model with Empirical Validation. Problem types: Market manipulation detection, Price discovery analysis, Wealth transfer quantification, Market design and regulation, Causal Inference, Anomaly Detection.

arXiv:2606.31675 ยท Paper rankings

Open the interactive Everscope explorer for full analysis, charts, and paper battles.