SHARC: SHAP-Based Interpretability in Machine Learning Risk Models for Regulatory Capital under ICAAP and CCAR

By Ujjwala Vadrevu

Rating

1375
Battle Count: 63

Relevance

4/10
The paper is primarily focused on regulatory capital compliance and model governance rather than alpha generation or trading strategy development. However, the mean vs. variance dominance finding has direct implications for hedging strategy design (directional position reduction vs. volatility-based hedging), capital allocation decisions, and risk limit setting that affect trading desk operations. The SHARC decomposition could inform position sizing and risk budgeting in quantitative trading contexts, but the primary audience is risk managers and regulatory compliance teams rather than traders.

Implementation Complexity

7/10
Requires expertise in Gaussian Process Regression (kernel design, hyperparameter optimization, ANI strategy), SHAP theory (cooperative game theory foundations, Kernel SHAP implementation), regulatory capital frameworks (FRTB, ICAAP, CCAR), and stress testing methodology (SACS, scenario construction). The SHAP analysis itself is relatively straightforward using existing libraries (shap package), but the full pipeline integration with GPR-HS, SVaR calculation, and regulatory documentation requirements adds significant complexity. Production deployment at scale (hundreds of sub-portfolios) requires additional engineering for hierarchical SHAP and automated monitoring.

Reproducibility

4/5
Replication code provided via Google Colab link (https://colab.research.google.com/drive/1nrlSqmG10DNerNmEqGIh3EB9CcLWIgH9). Builds on prior papers Vadrevu (2026a) and Vadrevu (2026b) for full GPR architecture, kernel specification, ANI strategy, SACS framework, and SVaR calculation. Three specific stress scenarios are defined with explicit shock magnitudes. However, the full pipeline requires access to the prior papers' code and data for complete reproduction.

About this paper

Methodology: SHARC (SHAP for Regulatory Capital). Problem types: Risk Management, Regression, Explainability/Interpretability, Stress Testing, Portfolio Optimization.

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