Depth-Efficient Quantum Topological Data Analysis for Regime-Specific Detection of Financial Stress

By Arul Rhik Mazumder, Shreyan Ronit Mazumder

Rating

1203
Battle Count: 82

Relevance

4/10
The paper addresses financial stress detection using topological features (Betti numbers) of market data, which is relevant to risk management and regime detection for quantitative trading. However, the quantum pipeline is not yet independently functional at real-data scale (requires classical warm-start), the classifier fails to generalize across crisis regimes (OOD AUC near 0 for COVID), and no quantum advantage is demonstrated at current scales. The classical TDA pipeline itself (β₁ as early warning signal) has practical relevance, but the quantum acceleration remains a methodological contribution rather than a deployable trading tool. The regime-specific failure mode is a critical limitation for practical trading applications.

Implementation Complexity

9/10
Extremely high complexity: requires expertise in quantum computing (PCE, VQE, HEA, Pauli correlators), topological data analysis (simplicial complexes, Vietoris-Rips filtration, combinatorial Laplacians, persistent homology), time series analysis (Takens embedding, mutual information, FNN), and financial data processing. The quantum simulation requires BlueQubit/Qiskit statevector backends. The variational deflation protocol, Rayleigh quotient evaluation, and warm-starting procedures add significant algorithmic complexity. No hardware execution demonstrated. The full pipeline spans classical TDA, quantum encoding, variational optimization, and classification.

Reproducibility

4/5
Full code, figures, and result artifacts are publicly available at https://github.com/arulrhikm/Quantum-Market-Crash-TDA. The S&P 500 dataset (2003-2010) is archived in the repository. OOD episodes are downloaded on-demand via yfinance with fixed date ranges. Classical computations on Google Colab, quantum simulations on BlueQubit and Qiskit Aer. However, the quantum pipeline has not been run end-to-end on real data at full scale, and hardware execution is not demonstrated. The warm-started recovery is a classical-quantum hybrid, not independent quantum determination.

About this paper

Methodology: PCE-VQE for Betti Number Estimation. Problem types: Classification, Optimization, Anomaly Detection, Dimensionality Reduction, Risk Management.

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