Comparing two approaches for modelling the loss given default of credit cards: Run-off triangles vs regression

By Arno Botha, Henko Crewe, Marcel Muller, Janette Larney

Rating

1695
Battle Count: 50

Relevance

2/10
Highly relevant for credit risk modeling and banking regulation (IFRS 9/Basel), but low relevance for algorithmic trading or market microstructure strategies.

Implementation Complexity

5/10
Moderate complexity. The regression approach uses standard GLMs, but the ROT approach involves complex matrix operations, chain-ladder calculations, and handling of sparse data structures. Variable selection and dichotomisation add further complexity.

Reproducibility

2/5
The study uses proprietary data from a large South African bank, which is not publicly available. While the methodology is detailed, exact reproduction requires access to the specific dataset.

About this paper

Methodology: Comparative LGD Modelling. Problem types: Regression, Classification, Risk Management, Time Series Forecasting.

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